PolyScalp

Trading Strategies

Three proven approaches to trading crypto prediction markets.

Last-Second Entry

medium risk

Enter the winning side in the final seconds before market closes. As the 5-minute window nears its end, the BTC price direction becomes increasingly clear. Place a buy order on the winning outcome (Up or Down) at the last moment.

Example:

BTC is at $66,200. Market closes in 30 seconds. Price was $66,150 at open and trending up. Buy 'Up' at 0.80 — if correct, you earn $0.20 per share ($1.00 payout - $0.80 cost). With $50 position that's $12.50 profit in seconds.

Probability Scalping with TP/SL

low risk

Buy at a low probability (cheap entry) and set Take Profit and Stop Loss to manage risk. The key is to enter when probability is undervalued and exit with small consistent gains.

Example:

Buy 'Up' at 0.40 ($4 per 10 shares). Set TP at 0.55 (profit $1.50) and SL at 0.30 (loss $1.00). Risk/reward ratio 1:1.5. If you win 50% of trades, you're profitable. Use preset buttons for consistent sizing.

Hedging UP/DOWN

low risk

Buy both Up and Down outcomes when their combined price is less than $1.00. Since one side always pays out $1.00, the difference is guaranteed profit. This works when market makers leave a gap in the spread.

Example:

Up is priced at 0.45 and Down at 0.45. Total cost: $0.90 per pair. Guaranteed payout: $1.00. Profit: $0.10 per pair (11% return). Buy 100 shares of each ($90 total) for $10 guaranteed profit. Works best with limit orders (0% maker fee).

Hedging Math

// Profitable hedge condition:
Up_Price + Down_Price < 1.00
// Example:
Buy Up @ 0.45 + Buy Down @ 0.45 = $0.90
Payout: $1.00 (one side always wins)
Profit: $0.10 per pair (+11.1%)
// Important:
Use limit orders (post-only) = 0% maker fee
Taker fee (~1.5%) can eat the margin!